MLB Picks for May 7: Baseball Best Bets, Predictions, Odds on DraftKings Sportsbook

Friday is usually a baseball day, but my goodness, Regen had other plans for the evening. Now a huge number of games are held here on Saturday. Let’s take a look at some games for today.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.

Eduardo Rodriguez Out Recorded u16.5 -130

Since Rodriguez moved to Detroit, his career hasn’t quite gone as planned. He’s been fighting, and his 5.33 ERA and a 4.39 xERA back that up. Today he faces one of the better left-handed offenses in the Astros. In this game, the Astros have a 106 wRC+ (12th) with a .305 wOBA, a .160 ISO and a 10.5% BB%. This team also doesn’t hit out much and only has 20.3% K% against lefties.

I love taking these outs. With a total of 16.5, we need Rodriguez to go no more than 5 23 innings In the five games he’s served, he hasn’t lasted more than six innings and hasn’t really had clean outings. Rodriguez has allowed at least three runs in all but one of his five starts. As his 10.5% BB% shows, the Astros are a very patient team and can work on the counts, which can help increase Rodriguez’s shooting tally. With this excellent line-up against left-handers I think they can put Rodriguez out of his game early on.

Dodgers team total over 4.5 runs -110

This bet applies to game 2 of your doubleheader. Daniel Norris takes the mound for the Cubs and I expect a lot of attacking from them in this game. Norris will likely serve as the opener for this game, having only served six total innings in five appearances. In it he has a 6.00 ERA with a 5.24 FIP. Small sample size, of course, so we can go back to his 2021 numbers with the Tigers. Spoiler alert: they’re not much better. Norris was blown away with a 6.16 ERA, a 4.87 FIP, and a 4.7 BB/9. This Dodgers lineup just doesn’t give opposing pitchers a chance to breathe, and along the way they’re averaging 4.6 runs per game, which puts them eighth-best in the league.

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Under 7 runs -125

We have two very good pitchers entering the mound tonight, Pablo Lopez and Sean Manaea entering the mound for their respective teams. Both starters were as good as advertised, especially Lopez. He comes into this game with a 1.29 ERA and a 2.04 FIP, a 9.6 K/9 and just a 1.9 BB/9. He rarely gives up hard contact, with opposing batsmen only creating it 18% of the time. Lopez also sees a huge jump in his breath rate from 18.6%. For comparison, his previous career high was 16% last season.

As for Manaea, he’ll take on a Marlins offense that has really struggled against lefties so far. At the start of this game they only have a 79 wRC+, a .272 wOBA and a .108 ISO. They also knock out a TON at 29.6% K% which currently leads the league. All of this combined made me enjoy the runs under seven in this game.

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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and I sometimes play on my personal account in the games I give advice on. While I have expressed my personal opinions on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings, and I may employ players and strategies other than those recommended above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to non-public information.

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