Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds – June 6, 2022

The Reds (18-35) are hoping to end a 3-game losing streak and resume their quest for seriousness in starting a 4-game streak with the Arizona tonight. The Diamondbacks (26-29) are surprisingly hanging on the fringes of the wild card chase. However, they arrive in Cincinnati on a 2-game losing streak, winning just 3 of their last 10 games. For what it’s worth or not, the Diamondbacks play only marginally better than the Reds against teams with .500 records or better (.333 vs. .290).

Starting Lineups

start pitchers

Reds rookie right-hander Hunter Greene will take on veteran left-hander Madison Bumgarner from the Diamondbacks.

Hunter Greene

The tale of Hunter Greene says he may be a generational talent given his nearly 100 MPH fast ball and putaway slider. Still, the 22-year-old phenom has had trouble closing balls at times. The contact to his pitches was often very solid. He also ran a few too many batters. Hence the worrying WHIP, slugging and OBP numbers for him in our charts.

However, the most important information in our charts is that Greene was essentially a 2-pitch pitcher; and that just doesn’t fly for a starter in MLB. The task before him is to refine his change and use it effectively. He would also be well served adding a 2-seam fastball to his repertoire.

The good news is that Greene appears to be a very confident hard worker who is determined to succeed at his potential. There was a lot of back-and-forth over whether Greene should have started the season at AAA to finish the work he still had to do. The decision made, right or wrong, is now reflected in the rearview mirror. Our job is to step back and give the child a chance to show what they’re made of.

splits

Splits PA H 2 B 3B MR bb K avg OBP SLG
RHH 119 31 4 0 11 10 32 .290 .353 .636
LHH 101 31 6 0 4 14 32 .207 .317 .414

Perhaps surprisingly, the RH sluggers actually hurt Greene more than the LH sluggers, especially with the long ball.

use of parking space

4 seam change slider
bike 98.8 89.8 87.8
purpose of use 52.9% 5.3% 41.8%

Madison Bumgarner

Madison Bumgarner is at the other end of Hunter Greene’s career arc. He is just short of 40 career bWAR, with two top-five seasons in Cy Young voting and two more seasons in the CYA top-10. He has also won an NLCS and a World Series MVP award.

After a couple of seasons in which Bumgarner seemed on the verge of retirement, he’s had a very solid 2022 to date. Looking at his career stats on pitch use and speed, the amazing thing is that he hasn’t really changed that much from who he is like a pitcher, he’s not quite as fast as he used to be; but then again, he was never a real power pitcher. His K-Rate has dropped significantly compared to his glory years with the Giants; but he still discards 2 for every batter walk. Perhaps more importantly, his BB rate is in the same range as it was in his prime. He’s trying to make contact and get people out.

splits

Splits PA H 2 B 3B MR bb K avg OBP SLG
RHH 179 37 10 1 8th 13 32 .224 .281 .442
LHH 47 10 3 0 1 5 5 .238 .319 .381

use of parking space

4 seam cutter change Curve
bike 90.9 87.7 84.5 78.2
purpose of use 26.8% 43.6% 11.0% 18.3%

bullpen status

RED

Art Warren threw 21 pitches on Sunday. Jared Solomon threw 13. Warren is likely restricted or unavailable today. Alexis Diaz surpassed 30 pitches on Saturday. He can be questionable.

Remember that between the days off, the Reds are in game 6 of a 16 game streak. Teams are still allowed to carry 14 pitchers; The minimum time for an optional pitcher to remain in the minors (except as a substitute for an injury) is now 15 days instead of 10 days. This could affect how the bullpen is used.

DBACKS

Sean Poppen and Kyle Nelson threw 22 and 17 pitches respectively on Sunday. They seem to be the only players who can be restricted today.

Messages and Notes

Mike Moustakis was placed on the IL. TJ Friedl was called back to fill the roster slot. Here’s our in-depth review of Redleg Nation.

Now for some really exciting news! Jonathan India will begin his rehab assignment at AAA Louisville on Tuesday. Donovan Solano also starts his rehab with Louisville tomorrow.

Per a C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic’s tweetthe Reds are hoping to have India ready for the home series coming up with the Brewers on June 17.

thought of the day

On a glorious spring weekend in Cincinnati, the total attendance for Saturday and Sunday announced by the Reds came to 492 seats sold, less than 40,000. I wondered how many of the Fannies who didn’t sit in empty seats at GABP had accepted the implied (Phil)Castellini challenge to do something better.

When and where

  • playing time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Big American Ballpark
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 76°, scattered T-Storms, 50% chance of Rai


Data and statistics courtesy of Baseball Reference, Fangraphs and Baseball Press

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